Kathmandu, 25 September, 2017 : Two Madhes-based parties—the Federal Socialist Forum-Nepal and the Rastriya Janata Party-Nepal (RJP-N)-have performed well in Province 2.
Observers say if the SSF-N continues to maintain the current trend, it would mean its Chairman Upendra Yadav’s comeback in the frontline of Madhes politics.
Yadav’s then party Madhesi Janadhikar Forum-Nepal had failed to win a single seat from the constituencies which are now in Province 2 during the 2013 Constituent Assembly elections.
Yadav’s legacy of 2007-08 still seems to be alive in the region. Secondly, he has been in the past many months very clear about participating in the local level elections. Yadav’s party received huge support from the Yadav population when he launched his poll campaigns months ago.
On top of that, the Federal Socialist Forum-Nepal had an advantage over the RJP-N, as the latter hemmed and hawed for long before deciding to join the polls.”
The Yadavs account for 10 percent of the Madhes population and is the largest caste group in the Tarai region.
The RJP-N, which was adamant about not participating in the elections without constitution amendment, started its poll campaigns only after August 21 when the constitution amendment bill failed in Parliament.
According to the observers, the RJP-N could have done much better though.
The RJP-N was formed in the third week of April through the unification of six Madhes-based parties. But the party failed to emerge as an “organically unified” force, as the merger decision was taken with the main goal of piling pressure get the charter amended.
As far as the UML is concerned, in core areas, where the Madhesi population is dominant, its performance is unlikely to improve, say the observers, adding that the CPN (Maoist Centre) is rather likely to maintain its constituencies. If the current trend continues, the UML may lose some of its constituencies in the Madhes.
For the Congress party, which has traditionally enjoyed good support in the Madhes, chances of it emerging as the largest force in Province 2 are high, said the observers.